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Regional Employment Projections
 

BC Stats, with the financial assistance of the Ministry of Advanced Education, developed the Regional Employment Projection Model (REPM), designed to project industrial and occupational employment in regions of the Province of British Columbia.

The methodology used in the model has come largely from previous work on community dependencies carried out earlier by BC STATS. The fundamental premise is that the economy of a region can be represented by income flows that can be classified as "basic" (or driver) and "non-basic" (or support), depending on the source of the income.

The current version of the model is benchmarked to the 2001 Census employment by Regional District, and is projected forward up to the most up-to-date annual employment data from the Labour Force Survey. The growth rates from the Labour Force Survey (LFS) at the provincial level for the basic industries are used to project growth down to the Regional District level. The model then calculates the indirect jobs based on the Regional District specific multipliers.

The industrial employment projections from the Canadian Occupational Projection System (COPS) are then used as the source data for the industrial growth, both in determining the growth rates in the direct employment, and then as a benchmark on which to reconcile the industrial employment generated by the model.

An important determining factor of growth by region is the nature of major projects coming on-stream in the outlook timeframe. Firstly, they affect construction employment, and secondly, many will affect specific industries once they move into the production phase.

 
Projections are available by College Region. However, the College Regions in the Lower Mainland (Vancouver, Kwantlen, Douglas and Capilano) are treated as one due to their proximity. Please see: Map of College Regions

All assumptions relating to employment are based on past conditions, modified wherever possible to take into consideration future changes. Consequently, the resulting employment projections are not necessarily what will be, but rather what could be, given the realization of these conditions. It is certainly possible that unforeseen changes in factors such as economic development, government policy, land use and zoning will affect future employment. Consequently, the projections should only be regarded as one possible scenario on the future size and distribution of the workforce.

 

Select full College Region report (pdf) or employment projections only (csv).

 


College Region
Full
Report
Employment Projections
Industry Occupation
Camosun PDF CSV CSV
Fraser Valley PDF CSV CSV
Lower Mainland
 (Vancouver, Kwantlen, Douglas, Capilano)
PDF CSV CSV
Malaspina PDF CSV CSV
New Caledonia PDF CSV CSV
Northern Lights PDF CSV CSV
North Island PDF CSV CSV
Northwest PDF CSV CSV
Okanagan PDF CSV CSV
Rockies PDF CSV CSV
Selkirk PDF CSV CSV
Thompson Rivers PDF CSV CSV
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